Despite a seasonally down quarter for the overall enterprise telephony market, the slow and steady move from circuit switching technology to packet switching technology remains evident, with worldwide TDM system revenue falling 11% and IP PBX revenue inching up 1% between 4Q05 and 1Q06, says Infonetics Research in its latest Enterprise Telephony report.
Combined, worldwide TDM and IP PBX systems revenue dipped 2% to $2.1 billion in 1Q06, but is 15% higher than a year ago. Annual revenue is forecast to grow to $11.4 billion in 2009, driven by strong IP PBX sales worldwide as more organizations move to voice over IP. Between 2005 and 2009, IP PBX revenue is forecast to jump 82% while TDM revenue plunges 88%.
“The overall enterprise telephony market was not immune to the first quarter blues, but the IP PBX category managed to eek out a small quarterly gain” said Matthias Machowinski, directing analyst at Infonetics Research. “We recently talked with 450 companies in North America about their voice infrastructure plans, and the results clearly indicate a steady move to VoIP, which will put this market on a nice steady growth trajectory over the next few years.”
– In EMEA, the top IP PBX system line shipment vendors are Alcatel, Siemens, and Nortel
– The top IP PBX system vendors in North America are Cisco, Avaya, and Nortel in a very close race: Cisco was just in 3rd position the previous quarter, and the difference in 1Q06 market share from 1st to 3rd is less than 2 points
– Cisco leads the IP phone market, with 39% unit market share; the next closest competitors are 3Com and NEC, who are tied for 2nd
– Hybrid PBXs account for 63% of PBX line shipments; by 2009, they will account for 78%, up from 61% in 2005
– 45% of PBX/KTS systems revenue comes from EMEA, 30% from North America, 19% from Asia Pacific, and 7% from CALA